20 Questions for Business Leaders Part 3
The entire history of management ideas can be seen as a series of answers to a few pragmatic queries.
by Art Kleiner and Nancy A. Nichols
https://www.strategy-business.com/feature/20-Questions-for-Business-Leaders?gko=e2585&utm_source=itw&utm_medium=20180222&utm_campaign=resp
HOW DO WE
PREPARE FOR UNCERTAINTY?
Watch out for megatrends.
All of business is affected by great sweeping
forces: demographic and social change, shifts in global economic power, rapid
urbanization, climate change and resource scarcity, and technological
breakthroughs.
Alvin and Heidi
Toffler, Future Shock, 1970
John Naisbitt, Megatrends, 1982
PwC, “How to Seize Opportunities When Megatrends Collide,” s+b, 2015
John Naisbitt, Megatrends, 1982
PwC, “How to Seize Opportunities When Megatrends Collide,” s+b, 2015
Anticipate black swans.
You can’t predict or avoid impossible
calamities, but you can develop your company’s ability to cope. Nassim
Nicholas Taleb, Black Swan,
2007
Invent your own
certainties.
“The best way to predict the future is to create
it.” Alan Kay, Xerox Palo
Alto Research Center, 1971
Pay attention to the way
you pay attention.
“How can I know what I think until I see what I
say?”
Karl Weick, Sensemaking in Organizations,
1995
Imagine multiple scenarios.
Explore several possible futures to raise your
awareness of the present and help you make better decisions by distinguishing
predetermined events from critical uncertainties.
Royal Dutch Shell Group
(home to Pierre Wack, Ted Newland, Arie de Geus, Peter Schwartz, and other
business thinkers), 1971; “The Man Who Saw the Future,” s+b, 2003